ATTENTION: NEGATIVE SKEW ON HANG SENG INDEX

Oct 29, 2024 | Markets

The rush into Chinese equities has propelled the ๐—›๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜… ๐—ฏ๐˜† +๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฑ% over the last month!

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ต ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ณ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜€๐—ผ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ where investors are bidding up the upside calls, leading to the very unusual situation where the 3-month 110% calls are now priced with an implied vol 3 points higher than the 90% put. The skew is negative!

That situation is rare: usually investors tend to overpay for the puts rather than for the calls. In other words, today, investors that are willing to give away Chinese upside will be highly compensated for it.

Good time for call overwriting or 1×2 call spread.
In exotic options space: Up and Out Calls are now particularly cheap versus Vanilla calls.

That’s a free trade idea!

Eric Barthe

Eric Barthe

Founder of Structuredproducts.net

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